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Ajax vs Tottenham Betting Tips

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Of all the results you could gain from a Champions League semi-final first leg, winning 1-0 at your opponent’s ground is about as good as it gets.

Ajax, who triumphed by that margin against Tottenham on Tuesday, now boast not only a one goal advantage heading into the second leg in Amsterdam, but they also have the cushion of an away goal to enjoy too.

Of course, that doesn’t mean that Tottenham are out of this tie – far from it – and if they can match the 1-0 win in this second leg then they will force the contest into extra time. If they can score twice then they suddenly become the favourites with the bookies.

The tale of the first leg was one of two chapters. Ajax dominated the first period at the new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, and they got their reward for their early show of power when Donny van de Beek slotted home after 15 minutes to give them the lead.

The Dutch outfit continued to dominate without adding to their tally, and their task was made much easier when Spurs’ defender Jan Vertonghen was carried off with a head injury shortly after.

The second half started in contrasting fashion, with Tottenham slowing the game down and enjoying plenty of possession. But they were unable to create any chances – not aided by the absence of strikers Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min through injury and suspension – and indeed perhaps Ajax should have an even stronger advantage but David Neres’s shot hit the post rather than the back of the net.

Afterwards, Tottenham boss Mauricio Pochettino said his side were ‘still alive’ in the tie, but it will take a remarkable effort in the second leg to overcome a rampant Ajax outfit.

Ajax vs Spurs Stats

Team statistics from last 10 matches Ajax / Tottenham
Number of Wins 9 / 4
Number of Loses 1 / 0
Average scored goals per match 3.1 / 1.2
Average conceded goals per match 1 / 1
Team form (last 5 matches) WWWWW / LWLLL

Can they do it? The Ajax vs Tottenham betting odds have been released, so let’s take a look at what the bookies think.

1. Ajax vs Tottenham Betting Odds

The Ajax vs Tottenham odds suggest that Spurs fans shouldn’t be getting their hopes up too high of a revival.

Ajax are the 2.05 favourites to win this second leg, with Tottenham a 3.40 outsider and the draw available at 3.50.

And the Dutch team are also a hot favourite to reach the Champions League final on June 1. They are as short as 1.35 in the ‘to qualify’ betting market, with Tottenham priced at 2.50.

2. Champions League Ajax vs Tottenham Predictions

So what chance do Tottenham have?

The vulnerability to their thin squad of injuries and suspensions was clear for all to see on Tuesday: a front two of Fernando Llorente and Lucas Moura, deputising for Kane and Son, really isn’t up to scratch at this level.

A lack of first team regulars also caused Pochettino to change his formation against Ajax in the first leg, and that was an approach that did not produce results either.

Expect him to turn to a four-man defence in Amsterdam, and with Son back in attack – and hopefully Vertonghen back in defence after his concussion diagnosis – the Londoners at least have the quality to take care of business. Having lost in the Premier League match against Bournemouth the morale are not very high.

“Now we need to move on. We cannot change the decisions, we cannot change the result and we need to be ready for the next game.” - Mauricio Pochettino, tottenhamhotspur.com

But the problem is that this young Ajax side are so well drilled and organised, and boasting the small matter of a handful of elite-level players also helps. They are a phenomenal outfit that once again showcase the merits of investing in a youth system that can produce a conveyor belt of talent.

However, there is an interesting theme that could well inform our Ajax vs Tottenham predictions. The Dutch team have conceded goals on home soil to Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Juventus in this year’s Champions League, and so Tottenham will be hoping that they too can find the net and transform this tie.

But the concern for them is that if they concede then they are really are up against it. That’s quite the conundrum for Pochettino to solve!

Ajax put four past Real, three by Bayern and two past Juventus in this competition so far, and so surely they are a strong contender to put the ball into Hugo Lloris’s net in this second leg.

And so the first of our Ajax vs Tottenham betting tips has to be both teams to score, which can be backed at odds of 1.65.

What is most interesting is that Ajax won’t have to change their natural style here. They can get bodies behind the ball and then break at pace, while at times they will maintain possession and take the sting out of the game.

Tottenham will desperately seek a goal or two, and that desperation does not really suit them. As such, Ajax at odds of 2.05 represent great value to win this second leg and ultimately take their place in the Champions League final against either Barcelona or Liverpool.

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