Atletico vs Arsenal Prediction

by Daniel Price from
Atletico vs Arsenal Prediction

There are only two matches between these clubs and the Champions League final and we are here with our Atletico vs Arsenal prediction. The Gunners were expected to make the semi-finals having met Sporting in the previous round but Atletico caused a shock by dumping Barcelona out of the competition. Which team will come out on top in the first leg in Madrid? The bookmakers have the visitors as the Atletico vs Arsenal favourites and The Gunners are 2.5 (3/2) with bet365 to win the match.

1. Atletico vs Arsenal Preview

We start our Atletico vs Arsenal predictions with the match schedule and this game will take place on the 29th of April at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid. That gives Atletico the home advantage and the players will be hoping for a repeat of the atmosphere against Barcelona, which was fantastic. Atletico Madrid have reached the Champions League final 3 times but never won and Arsenal have played in one Champions League final and lost.

1.1 Atletico vs Arsenal News

Before making any Atletico vs Arsenal betting predictions we have the team news and Atletico vs Arsenal stats. Atletico did not pick up any yellow cards against Barcelona and do not have any players suspended. The Atletico lineup could feature goalkeeper Jan Oblak, who returned to the bench against Barcelona. David Hancko and Jose Gimenez could also return from injury while Antoine Griezmann, Julián Alvarez, and Ademola Lookman will play in attack.

The Arsenal lineup will be missing Mikel Merino and there are doubts over the fitness of Martin Ødegaard, Riccardo Calafiori, Bukayo Saka, and Jurriën Timber. Noni Madueke came off injured against Sporting and could miss out.

1.2 Atletico vs Arsenal Stats

A quick look at the statistics ahead of our Atletico vs Arsenal prediction and this is the third meeting between the teams. The Atletico vs Arsenal head to head record shows a 1-1 draw and 1-0 home win for Atletico in the 2017/18 Europa League and a comprehensive 4-0 home win for Arsenal in the league phase of the Champions League this season. Arsenal remain undefeated in the Champions League this season while Atletico Madrid have tasted 5 defeats.

Now we can move on to betting odds, but before we do that, we encourage our readers to check out other events we cover. If you're a fan of other high profile sports tournaments, you can read our Wimbledon 2026 predictions.

2. Atletico vs Arsenal Odds

We have selected the most popular Atletico vs Arsenal betting markets for this game. We recommend signing up for a free bet365 account and looking out for potential Atletico vs Arsenal free bet offers.

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal - Best odds
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Over/Under 2.5 Goals

  • Over – 2 (1/1)
  • Under – 1.8 (4/5)

Both Teams to Score

  • Yes – 1.8 (4/5)
  • No – 1.95 (20/21)

Correct Score

  • 1-1 Draw – 6 (5/1)
  • Arsenal 1-0 Win – 8 (7/1)
  • Atletico 1-0 Win – 9 (8/1)
  • 0-0 Draw – 9.5 (17/2)
  • Arsenal 2-1 Win – 10 (9/1)
  • Atletico 2-1 Win – 11 (10/1)

Match Result/Both Teams to Score

  • Draw/Yes – 4.33 (10/3)
  • Atletico/No – 5 (4/1)
  • Arsenal/No – 4.33 (10/3)
  • Arsenal/Yes – 5 (4/1)
  • Atletico/Yes – 5.5 (9/2)

Anytime Goalscorer

  • Alexander Sørloth – 2.63 (13/8)
  • Gabriel Jesus – 3 (2/1)
  • Julián Alvarez – 3 (2/1)
  • Viktor Gyökeres – 3 (2/1)
  • Ademola Lookman – 3.4 (12/5)

You know the odds, now place your bets!

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That concludes the odds for this Champions League semifinal. As many punters are eager to try out less popular bets, especially in such exciting and evenly matched bouts, we recommend you read our article on betting on underdogs strategies, so you're fully prepared to get out of your comfort zone.

3. Atletico vs Arsenal Champions League Predictions

We start our predictions for Atletico vs Arsenal with the match winner and this has the makings of a closely fought encounter. Arsenal are undefeated in the Champions League this season and have won 5 of their 6 away fixtures in the competition. Atletico have won 5 of their 7 home games, tasting defeat against Arsenal and Bodø/Glimt. However, with the La Liga title out of reach and a top four place almost secure, there is no doubt Diego Simeone is going to focus on this match and rest key players. The same cannot be said for Arsenal, who are battling for the Premier League title and have a tough home fixture against Newcastle United prior to this game. Our Atletico vs Arsenal match winner prediction is a draw at 3.3 (23/10) with bet365.

Arsenal have seen under 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 4 Champions League games and they have been strong defensively this season. Atletico on the other hand, have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 7 fixtures in the competition. Expect to see Arsenal try and keep things tight in this first leg, something they are capable of doing, which could lead to under 2.5 goals at 1.8 (4/5) with bet365.

Moving on to the Atletico vs Arsenal correct score prediction and Atletico have scored in 13 of their 14 Champions League matches this season. Arsenal have scored in 11 of their 12 games in the competition but have netted an average of just 1 goal across their last 4 fixtures. So, our Atletico vs Arsenal prediction is for the match to end 1-1 at 6 (5/1) with bet365.

If the correct score market is not for you, the next best option is match winner and both teams to score. Following our Atletico vs Arsenal tips above, you can back the draw and both teams to score at 4.33 (10/3) with bet365.

When it comes to the anytime goalscorer market, Julián Alvarez is a tempting bet. The Atletico forward has scored in 3 of his last 4 Champions League games and has been taking penalties and free-kicks. Alvarez is on offer at 3 (2/1) with bet365 to score anytime.

That concludes our Atletico vs Arsenal predictions, but before you go, remember that there are other factors to making bets than just the popularity of a given market. If you're interested in expanding your bets, check out our article on the most profitable football betting markets in 2026.

4. Atletico vs Arsenal Prediction – FAQ

4.1 📺 Where to watch Atletico vs Arsenal?

Fans in Spain can watch on Movistar Plus+ and supporters in England can see the game live on TNT Sports.

4.2 🏟️ Where is the game going to take place?

The match will be played at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on the 29th of April.

4.3 ⚽ What is the best bookmaker to bet on Atletico vs Arsenal?

We recommend using bet365 and checking the full available offer on the official website.

4.4 🏆 What is the latest Atletico vs Arsenal betting prediction?

Our Atletico vs Arsenal prediction is a draw at 3.3 (23/10) with bet365.

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