1. How to Identify the Euro 2020 / 2021 Top Goalscorer
If we go back to the European Championship of 2016 and look at the top goalscorer charts there, an obvious pattern emerges.
At that tournament, eventual champions Portugal met France in the final. By the end of the Portuguese’s victory, Antoine Griezmann had claimed the Golden Boot with six goals, while half-dozen players were behind him on three goals: two Frenchman and two from Portugal among that group.
The takeaway point? Backing the attacking players from the teams we expect to get to the final is the smart way to go – obvious, but worth repeating.
Another angle of attack revealed itself at World Cup 2018. Harry Kane won the Golden Boot there with six goals, and while England went as far as the semi-finals it’s worth noting that five of his goals came in two games against weak opposition: a hat-trick against Panama, and a brace against Tunisia.
So, if we can identify an attacking player likely to net regularly in the group phase, that could be another way to go.
We’re not going to read too much into the goalscoring records of players in Euro 2020 / 2021 qualifying: after all, strikes recorded against the likes of San Marino and Gibraltar don’t really count for much!
Our Euro 2020 / 2021 top goalscorer predictions start with identifying teams we expect to reach the semi-finals and/or final.
Looking at the draw bracket, our selected teams will be France/Germany (it’s too hard to split them!), Belgium, England and the Netherlands.
And then we can look at their groups: France and Germany have a tough pool to contend with, Belgium have Denmark, Russia and Finland; England take on Croatia, the Czech Republic and the winner of Play-Off C (one of Scotland, Serbia, Norway or Israel), Finally, the Netherlands will play Ukraine, Austria and the winner of Play-Off D, which will either be Georgia, Belarus, Kosovo or North Macedonia.
2. Euro 2020 / 2021 Top Goalscorer Odds
Leading the Euro 2020 / 2021 top goalscorer odds is Harry Kane (6.00), who as we know will lead the line for England – one of our identified teams.
Then we have Cristiano Ronaldo (8.00), Kylian Mbappe (9.00) and Romelu Lukaku (9.00) – the latter two round out the Euro 2020 / 2021 top goalscorer favourites, and also feature on our shortlist.
Memphis Depay (15.00 at Betfair) is of interest as a Dutchman, as is Antoine Griezmann (13.00) for France, while it will take some persuading for most to take Timo Werner’s chances seriously at 15.00.
Further down the betting market, Alvaro Morata(17.00) is a very intriguing selection, while you suspect goals are almost guaranteed from the likes of Eden Hazard and Ciro Immobile, 15.00 and 17.00 respectively.
We have a sound foundation to work with in our Euro 2020 / 2021 top goalscorer tips, and we can start by running the rule over two currently injured players.
Harry Kane and Memphis Depay have both missed lots of football this season due to injury, and you wonder how sharp they will be heading into the tournament. As a result, they can probably be swerved with our bets here.
It’s frustrating, because Depay in particular would have been on the radar. The Netherlands have the easiest group in the competition, but without a proven goalscorer it is hard to really get behind any one of their players.
But if you have each way betting in your country, then Gini Wijnaldum could be worth a go at 41.00 at Betfair. He plays in a more advanced role for Holland, and he seems to perform to a much higher level for his country than he does for club side Liverpool.
As for our main tips, Mbappe is certainly worth a second look but our top bet goes to Romelu Lukaku, the Belgian striker who has been in lethal scoring form for Inter Milan this season.
Once upon a time, it was argued that he didn’t score enough goals, but that seems to have been rectified in Italy and just look at the players queuing up to create chances for him: De Bruyne, Hazard, Mertens, Carrasco etc. How can he fail to score goals at Euro 2020 / 2021?