France vs Spain Prediction

by Daniel Price from
France vs Spain Prediction

There are only two games remaining before the 2026 World Cup final and we look ahead to the first semi-final as we make our France vs Spain prediction. The game will be played on the 14th of July at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington. This is an all-European semi-final, and the bookmakers believe France are the favourites priced at 2.35 (27/20) with bet365.

1. France vs Spain Preview

We begin our France vs Spain predictions with a closer look at the statistics for both teams. The France vs Spain head-to-head record shows Spain have won 18 times, France have 13 victories, and there have been 7 draws. That gives Spain the advantage in terms of historical results.

2. France vs Spain Stats

Before making any France vs Spain betting picks, it is important to consider the stats at this World Cup. The French were convincing winners of Group I. Les Bleus beat Senegal 3-1, Iraq 3-0, and Norway 4-1. France beat Sweden 3-0 in the round of 32 followed by a 1-0 victory over Paraguay. France were comfortable 2-0 winners of Morocco in the quarter-finals. France have an xG (expected goals) of 2.18 and xGA (expected goals conceded) of 0.75.

Spain started with a disappointing 0-0 draw with Cape Verde but beat Saudi Arabia 4-0 and Uruguay 1-0 to top their group. La Roja beat Austria 3-0 in the round of 32, Portugal 1-0 in the round of 16, and Belgium 2-1 in the quarter-finals. Spain have an xG of 2.2 and xGA of 0.64.

"France have already shown some extraordinary, exceptional ​potential, and so have we," - Luis de la Fuente | Reuters

3. France vs Spain Predicted Lineups

Looking ahead to the France vs Spain team news, and the French have no suspension concerns ahead of this match. The only worry is the early withdrawal of Kylian Mbappe in the quarterfinal against Morocco, but the striker should be fine.

France predicted starting XI

  • Maignan; Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Digne; Kone, Rabiot; Dembele, Olise, Doue; Mbappe

Spain have no players suspended and Nico Williams back to full fitness. Pedri started on the bench against Belgium but could return to the starting XI.

Spain predicted starting XI

  • Simon; Porro, Cubarsi, Laporte, Cucurella; Rodri, Pedri; Yamal, Olmo, Baena; Oyarzabal

It is vital to monitor the team news when making a France vs Spain prediction because the last withdrawal of a key player could make a difference. With the team news in place, we can move on to the France vs Spain betting odds.

4. France vs Spain World Cup Betting Predictions

4.1 France to Win

Our first France vs Spain prediction is for the match winner. Other than the battle against Paraguay, France have often looked comfortable, whereas Spain have required late goals against Portugal and Belgium to win. The French have performed better than Spain in the group and knockout stages, so the first of our France vs Spain betting tips is France to win at 2.35 (27/20) with bet365.

4.2 Over 2.5 Goals

Spain have been good defensively, conceding just a single goal but France have conceded only 2 goals. The French have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their 6 matches and Spain in 3 of their 6 matches. So, there is a possibility we see more of the same in this semi-final and over 2.5 goals is on offer at 1.91 (10/11) with bet365.

4.3 Both Teams to Score: Yes

France have scored 16 goals, and Spain have netted 11 times in their 6 fixtures at the 2026 World Cup. The French are averaging 2.67 goals and the Spanish 1.83 goals per match, meaning it would not be a surprise to see both teams score in this game. Our next France vs Spain prediction is both teams to score/yes at 1.75 with (3/4) bet365.

4.4 BTTS (YES) & France to Win

The last of our France vs Spain predictions is a combination of match winner and both teams to score. We can combine our prediction of France to win with both teams scoring at 4.75 (15/4) with bet365.

One way to get more value when wagering on these markets is to use a free bet. Those interested in exploring some of the best free bets offers in 2026 available from leading bookmakers can find more information in our related article.

5. France vs Spain Odds

France vs Spain betting starts with the odds. We have selected the best France vs Spain betting markets.

France vs Spain - Best odds
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Full Time Result

  • France Win – 2.35 (27/20)
  • Draw – 3.25 (9/4)
  • Spain Win – 3.1 (21/10)

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

  • Over – 1.91 (10/11)
  • Under – 1.91 (10/11)

Both Teams to Score

  • Yes – 1.75 (3/4)
  • No – 2 (1/1)

Correct Score

  • 1-1 Draw – 6.5 (11/2)
  • France 1-0 Win – 8.5 (15/2)
  • 0-0 Draw – 9.5 (17/2)
  • Spain 1-0 Win – 10 (9/1)
  • France 2-1 Win – 10 (9/1)
  • France 2-0 Win – 12 (11/1)
  • Spain 2-1 Win – 12 (11/1)
  • 2-2 Draw – 15 (14/1)

Match Result/Both Teams to Score

  • France/No – 4 (3/1)
  • Draw/Yes – 4.33 (10/3)
  • France/Yes – 4.75 (15/4)
  • Spain/No – 5.5 (9/2)
  • Spain/Yes – 6 (5/1)
  • Draw/No – 9.5 (17/2)

Team to Qualify

  • France – 1.67 (4/6)
  • Spain – 2.2 (6/5)

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7. France vs Spain Prediction – FAQ

7.1 🏟️ When is France vs Spain?

The game will be played on the 14th of July at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington.

7.2 📺 Where to watch France vs Spain?

Fans in France can watch on M6/beIN Sports and supporters in Spain can watch on RTVE/Mediapro/DAZN. You may also find France vs Spain live streaming at bet365.

7.3 🏆 Who is the favorite to win France vs Spain?

France is the favorite to win.

7.4 📲 What are the odds for France to win?

France are 2.35 (27/20) to win.

7.5 🥇 Who will win France vs Spain?

Our France vs Spain prediction is France to win and both teams to score at 4.75 (15/4).

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