Eurovision 2018 Predictions

Eurovision 2018 Predictions

The 2018 Eurovision Song Contest will take place between the 8th and 12th May 2018, in Portugal. The winner of the previous event has the right to host the following year and thanks to the song "Amar pelos dois", performed by Salvador Sobral in Ukraine, Portugal will host the Eurovision Song Contest for the first time.

The first semi-final will take place on the 8th of May, followed by the second semi-final on the 10th of May. The final will be held on Saturday 12th of May at the Altice Arena, Lisbon, Portugal.

Presenters will include Filomena Cautela, Sílvia Alberto, Daniela Ruah and Catarina Furtado, meaning the event will be presented by four female presenters for the first time. The 2018 Eurovision will be beamed live all around the world and several commentators will be in place to bring you all the action as it unfolds.

Despite not being a sport, the Eurovision Song Contest brings something different to the betting world and offers gamblers something new and exciting to get their teeth into and the 2018 edition of the competition is going to be great fun to watch.

So here are few Eurovision 2018 predictions and betting tips for punters for the 2018 contest.

Do you want to benefit by following the advice posted by other tipsters? Be sure to read about the top community of online tipsters and interact with them!

1. Politics Matters

There have been accusations of ‘block voting’ for years now at Eurovision, and whether that is true or not it is clear that the winning nation needs allies if they are to win the popular vote.

Two of the biggest countries that enter Eurovision, Russia and the United Kingdom, have a dismal record in the competition. Russia has only won it once in more than 60 years of competition, and while the UK has been crowned champions on five occasions there have been zero wins since 1997 – prior to the various conflicts and wars they have been engaged in since.

Even Ireland, who holds the record for most Eurovision victories in history with seven, haven’t won for more than two decades – perhaps as a side effect of being linked to the UK.

So yes, politics plays a part in determining the outcome of who wins the Eurovision Song Contest, and the list of recent winners – Portugal, Ukraine, Sweden, Denmark, and Austria – are as politically neutral as it gets.

Scandinavia is a good place to start the search for the Eurovision 2018 winner – these nations have 12 triumphs to their name.

2. Song Choice is Key

The more recent winners of Eurovision can be packed into three boxes: a solo male singing an earnest song (Salvador Sabral last year, Mans Zelmerlow in 2015, Alexander Rybak in 2009), a solo female singing a dance-tinged number (Loreen in 2012 and Jamal in 2016), or, occasionally, novelty acts such as Lordi in 2016, who looked and sounded like Iron Maiden on the set of Game of Thrones, and the ‘bearded lady’ Conchita Wurst in 2014.

The champion of Eurovision hasn’t taken a detour from this basic formula in a decade or so, so punters should make sure their selections fit these criteria.

3. Voting Matters

In 2016, the voting system changed to reflect each country giving two sets of votes: one set from their chosen jury of experts, and a second set derived from the televoting public.

This should, in principle, limit the effect of political voting, but in actual fact if we think about the notion of musical taste it is likely that somebody in Norway, for instance, would prefer the Eurovision entry from a Scandinavian country because that’s the sound they are familiar with, while somebody in Turkey would vote for a Balkan country for that very reason.

Eurovision expert Derek Gatherer has identified a set of collusive voting blocks, and the most successful of these have been:
- Viking Empire: Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Norway, Sweden.
- Balkan Bloc: Croatia, Cyprus, Greece, Macedonia, Romania, Azerbaijan, Serbia, Turkey.

Sometimes the smart thing to do from a betting perspective is to pick the best song from that shortlist!

4. 2018 Eurovision odds

Eurovision 2018 betting odds aren't really a surprise. Israel will start the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest as the favourites, priced at 7/2 with Bet365. Their entry, "Toy" performed by Netta Barzilai, was written by Doron Medalie and Stav Beger and immediately entered the betting at the top of the pile.

The song was leaked online before the official release date and this saw a flurry of early bets placed on Israel to win the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest. Once officially released, “Toy” received over one million hits on the website of the Israeli public broadcaster Kan and continues to grow in popularity.

Israel have won the Eurovision Song Contest three times and it would not be a surprise to see them make it four this year.

One of their biggest rivals for the crown will be Estonia with betting odds at 11/2 with Bet365.

Estonia’s entry will be the Italian language song “La Forza” performed by 26-year-old Elina Nechayeva. The song was written by Timo Vendt, Mihkel Mattisen, Ksenia Kuchukova and Nechayeva herself and is an operatic piece, which makes it a little different to the usual genres performed at Eurovision.

The Czech Republic will also fancy their chances and they start at 15/2 in the betting. Their entry, “Lie to Me” sung by Mikolas Josef is a more traditional Eurovision song and could win many fans on the night of the performance.

5. Eurovision 2018 betting

So what are Eurovision 2018 betting tips? Well... If there is one nation to avoid betting on at the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest, it is the United Kingdom. SuRie will perform the song “Storm” in Lisbon and while it is a safe choice, the United Kingdom will never threaten at the top of the leaderboard and this is summed up by their odds of 100/1 with Bet365.

Perhaps a better choice for an outside bet is Australia. Yes, Australia are now part of the Eurovision Song Contest and this will be their fourth performance at the event.

Australia have done well so far, coming fifth, second and ninth in the final and have gone all out in 2018 by entering internationally recognised singer Jessica Mauboy. She has experience of performing on the Eurovision stage and can be backed at 16/1 to win the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest.

The 2018 Eurovision Song Contest is going to be a great celebration of musical trends around Europe and Australia. What better way to add some excitement to the entertainment than placing a bet on your favourite artist or the country you believe will win? Check also other sure betting tips.

6. Eurovision 2018 live streaming

Even though live streaming schedule allows you to check what games and events will be played only one week in advance, there is a great possibility you will be able to watch Eurovision 2018 online at Bet365 or 1xBet. You can read more about Eurovision 2018 live streaming here.

You might ask yourself, is live streaming for free? For example, at Bet365, live streaming is free of charge, however, you must have a Sports account or have placed a bet within the last 24 hours in order to watch streams.

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Comments (1)
Last comment DIKAIOTHEN DIKAIOTHEN the official name of the Balkan country is FYROM and NOT "Macedonia" Macedonia is Greek, it has Greek history, Greek language, Greek alphabet, Greek culture (read encyclopedia before you write). The groups which supports each other and EXCHANGE votes are :1) Scandinavian group, is the most tight! (Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark and Iceland) 2) Baltic Sea group (Belarus, Lithuania, Estonia, Poland) 4) Caucasus (Armenia, Georgia, Russia) 5) Balkan group (Romania, Moldova, Hungary, Czech republic , Slovakia) 6)Former Yogoslavian group, (Croatia, Slovenia, Serbia, FYROM, Montenegro) 7) East Mediterranean group (Greece, Cyprus, Albania, Bulgaria,) 8) Turkey and Azerbaijan.
Germany and England are not included in groups because of politics. You will never see Cyprus to vote for Turkey, Armenia for Turkey, Greece for FYROM, Ukraine for Russia., etc.
5 months ago ...
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