Liverpool’s ambition of going one step further than last season and winning the Champions League in 2018/19 took a huge leap forward with a 2-0 win in the first leg of this quarter final clash with FC Porto at Anfield.
Their effort got off to the best possible start when Naby Keita scored their opener after just five minutes when he fired in a shot from the edge of the area that took a deflection before nestling in the back of the net.The Reds doubled their lead not long after when Jordan Henderson sent Trent-Alexander Arnold away down the right flank and his cut back found Roberto Firmino, who tapped home to double Liverpool’s advantage.From there, they have expected to go and rampage to victory with more than an hour of the game to go, but they only created a couple of half-chances thereafter. And what’s more, Porto fashioned a couple of strong chances themselves, with their striker Moussa Marega missing a couple of opportunities that would have brought his team an important away goal.As it is, Liverpool could not have wished for a better night; especially when Mo Salah got away scot-free after appearing to stamp on a Porto player.
Two goals, a clean sheet, and your best player getting away with a tackle that would have seen him suspended for the second leg….priceless! So now Porto need to find at least two goals themselves in the second leg in Portugal on April 17, while stopping Liverpool from scoring. The FC Porto vs Liverpool odds for the second leg have been released, so let’s take a look at the markets and see if we can find any betting value.
As you will probably be aware by now, there are two angles to attack with our bets for any two-legged Champions League tie: the individual game itself, as well as the ‘to qualify’ market where we predict who will reach the next round.
For this second leg specifically, Porto can be backed at 3.75 and Liverpool at 2.05. The draw has been priced at 3.25. And it doesn’t take a football genius to know that Liverpool are a red-hot favourite to progress in the ‘to qualify’ market for obvious reasons. They are as short as 1.02, with Porto priced at 17.00 to complete the unlikeliest of comebacks.
The most obvious question that we need to ask prior to making any FC Porto vs Liverpool predictions is this: can Porto realistically get back into this fixture They would need to win 2-0 to force it into extra time and 3-0 (or better) to win it outright. Either way, keeping a clean sheet is absolutely imperative, and that’s just not very likely, is it.Liverpool did fail to score in two of their way group games at Napoli and Red Star Belgrade, but they notched three at the formidable Allianz Arena home of Bayern Munich and in the English Premier League they have netted in 91% of all their matches this season.In nine Champion League matches so far in 2018/19, Porto have kept a solitary clean sheet, and while they don’t concede many as a rule it’s a tall order for them to stop the likes of Salah, Firmino and Sadio Mane while themselves pushing for the goals that will turn this tie on its head. So, we expect Liverpool to score at least once in Portugal… and thus we expect them to win the tie at a canter.
How do our FC Porto vs Liverpool betting tips shape up then? Clearly, we can’t back Liverpool to qualify at the odds available, while backing them to win this second leg is a risky bet given that Porto are no mugs on home soil.The Portuguese outfit do have goals in their locker, and only Lionel Messi and Robert Lewandowski have scored more Champions League goals this season than Marega. As such, backing both teams to score at 1.80 looks a fair move, and if you want to take that a step further then you can also back both teams to score AND over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.35.
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