How do we analyse the 0-0 draw between these two teams in the first leg of their Champions League last 16 tie?
It sounds crazy, really, to suggest that Sevilla are the favourites to qualify now, but the reality of the situation is that if the Spaniards manage to score at Old Trafford on March 13 then the home team will need to find the net at least twice to progress to the quarter finals.
That said, Manchester United will fancy the job. If they can keep a clean sheet – something of a Jose Mourinho specialty in big games – then they will only need to score once to qualify for the last eight. Given Sevilla’s record away from home, that is a distinct possibility.
So this second leg tie in Manchester is perfectly poised; but who will get the result to take them into the Champions League quarter finals?
1. Man United vs Sevilla Odds
There are two different sets of odds for punters to consider here: firstly, those regarding this specific match. And then secondly, the prices on either team ‘to qualify’, whether that means extra time and penalties or not.
Man United can be backed at 1.67 to win this specific game, Sevilla are 5.50 and the draw is available at 3.75.
As for the ‘to qualify’ market, United are as short as 1.53 and Sevilla are the outsiders at 2.50.
Our Man United vs Sevilla betting prediction:
2. Manchester United v Sevilla Predictions
What do we know about Manchester United? We know that they have a galaxy of attacking talent at their disposal, and yet Mourinho is reluctant to set them free: he prefers a cagey, conservative style of football.
It’s a tactic that typically gets results against the big teams, although it is worth noting that they occasionally come unstuck against sides that attack them. They were defeated 1-2 by Manchester City and 0-2 by Tottenham in December/January, and Sevilla have to take the positives from those results.
But the hosts are excellent on home soil. A run of W10 D2 L1 in the Premier League was matched by three straight wins at Old Trafford in the group stage of this competition over Benfica, CSKA Moscow and Basel.
The elephant in the room is Sevilla’s away form. Take their record in the La Liga this season as guidance: on home soil, they have lost just once (W7 D3 L1), and yet on the travels the results have been rather more desperate (W5 D0 L8).
If we turn the microscope on their away form in the Champions League specifically, the picture is even more worrying for the Spaniards: W2 D5 L7 is not an indicator that any success is likely to follow. They had two results in the group phase that show how difficult Sevilla are to predict on the road: they drew 2-2 at Anfield with Liverpool (a result which would see them qualify here), and yet lost 1-5 at Spartak Moscow!
If you’re looking for a bet here, then you simply have to play the percentages: Manchester United are excellent at home, Sevilla typically poor on the road. So back United to win this match at 1.67.
This Champions League last 16 is finely poised after the 0-0 draw in the first leg. Will Manchester United’s home form be decisive, or can Sevilla upturn the form book? What do you think? Let us know your Manchester Utd vs Sevilla predictions in the comments below.
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