Napoli vs Real Madrid
Champions League Round of 16, Game 2
Today, 19:45 (GMT)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
The away goal: it truly is a wonderful thing. For Napoli, the away goal they plundered in Madrid on Wednesday night has given them a chance – albeit a very small one – of qualifying for the quarter-finals of the Champions League. Without it, they would be dead and buried in this tie.
The architect of their hope is Lorenzo Insigne, whose superb strike arrowed past Keylor Navas and into the Real Madrid net after eight minutes. That early strike served as a wake-up call for the Galacticos, who used their Bernabeu advantage to great effect by running home three goals courtesy of Karim Benzema, Toni Kroos and Casemiro.
One notable name absent from that list of goalscorers is Cristiano Ronaldo, who has now failed to net in more than five-and-a-half Champions League games. However, the Portuguese ace has offered five assists in his last six appearances, and remains a crucial part of this Madrid side.
1. Napoli vs Real Winner Betting Odds
So what hope can we offer Napoli and punters for the second leg then? Well, they do possess plenty of firepower in their side to overturn this two-goal deficit, but unfortunately for them they will realistically need to keep a clean sheet to have any chance of progression.
Will we see a miracle in Naples on March 7?
The bookmakers clearly think that Real Madrid will qualify from the tie, and bettors can expect a best price of 1.10 with bet365 on that becoming a reality. For the miracle in Naples too occur, punters will get a generous 7.00 with the same bookmaker on Napoli qualifying.
But in terms of this second leg match, the bookies are far more unsure as to how the action is set to pan out. You can get 2.30 on a Real Madrid win in 90 minutes with bet365, and 3.00 on a Napoli victory. The draw is available at 3.90.
2. Where the Money Is - Napoli v Real Madrid Betting Tips
The interesting thing about Napoli is their home form. They have won nine of their thirteen matches there in Serie A, netting 30 goals in the process. They are unbeaten in Naples since October, and in their last ten league games – home or away – they have bludgeoned an incredible 33 goals.
So they have the power in front of goal to do some damage, and it is interesting to note that it is now eight games since Real Madrid kept a clean sheet in the Champions League. As such, we’re going to risk an Over 3.5 Goals wager in this match at 2.20. Real will be deadly on the counter attack, while Napoli will press hard for goals.
We also note that Real’s away record in the Champions League isn’t all that strong: W4 D4 L2. Okay, so they avoid defeat a lot, but they have won just 40% of their last ten outings on the road in this competition.
So let’s back the draw in this match at a very handsome price; all the omens point to a score draw.
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